Global Power Shifts, China and the Future of Democracy
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On April 26, 2016, the Swedish Institute of International Affairs (UI) arranged a discussion on China and the global future of democracy. How will the rise of China affect the prospects for liberal democracy in East and Southeast Asia and beyond? How do global power shifts from a liberal great power to a non-liberal one affect the global future of democracy? This discussion had a focus on pressures on China to become a more open polity on the one hand, and on the incentives its rulers have toward the modification of its social and material environment so as to skew evolution in favor of China’s own regime on the other hand. While China one day may give in to global pressure to become a liberal democracy, by exerting more direct control over China’s environment its rulers may be able to delay that moment for longer than we think. Key note speaker: Prof. John M. Owen, Taylor Professor of Politics, University of Virginia. At the moment Guest Scholar, Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung (WZB). Owen's research focuses on how transnational ideological and cultural similarities and differences affect, and are affected by, international relations. Comments by: Prof. Stein Tønnesson, Research Professor at the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO). In the years 2011-16 he leads a research program at the University of Uppsala on the 'East Asian Peace' since 1979. He has recently undertaken a systematic comparison of how Western scholars predict China's future. Dr. Oliver Turner, Hallsworth Fellow in Political Economy at the University of Manchester, Associate Fellow at the Swedish Institute of International Affairs (UI). The seminar was moderated by Dr. Nicola Nymalm, Researcher at UI’s East Asia, and Global Politics and Security Programmes.
Comments
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China might adopt democracy when its GDP per capita catches up to other developed countries.
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Never trust PRC China! They stole technologies to further their Communist agenda especially military ones.
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Both US and the western accumulated so much debt that undermined their democracy. The bankruptcy system of the west does not attracted any envy anymore!!! The colonial history of the West doesn't help either!!!
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HISTORIC FACT:SINCE THE DAYS OF THE JESUITS MISSIONARIES,GENERATIONS AFTER GENERATIONS OF CHINA EXPERTS HAVE BEEN WRONG ALL THE TIME-STRANGE,BECAUSE EVEN IF YOU ADVANCE THESIS RANDOMLY YOU SHOULD HAVE A GOOD CHANCE OF BEING-WHY THIS PERSISTENCE ON BEING WRONG ALL THE TIME
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West is so backward and delusional. Making up everything by guessing like they know anything about China. And talking about "accepting", like we are some strayed animals needs their approval. Especially the USA guy, he looks so clueless and had to pull out Hongkong incident and `Chapter 08` to hide his empty arguments. Those incidents were all created by his CIA and NED.
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Prof. Owen gave a wonderful, and enlightening talk.
Points to reflect.
1. Why Hong Kong could not accept the appointed governor, whilst it had been the practice by
the British for the past 150 years. ( Probably it is the trust problem. The west play a part in
it, intentionally or otherwise.)
2. The very obvious weaknesses in the democratic election (esp. in US) seems do not attract
much attention. In the democratic election system, the opposite sides are simply not able
to sit together, and this may be incorrigible.
3. Singapore's system is not a pure breed of democracy, it is a covered-up. See how the late
LKY reacted when he got just a slightly bigger opposition. Because he wanted to prevent
the government from becoming weak.
4. A strong government is required to run a country well, and the one party system is more
likely to provide such a government, than the democratic election system.
5. If the tripartite could stabilize the democratic election, could this tripartite also helps in the
one party system? ( China is introducing the legal system, adopting the west's)
6. While most westerners hoping for China to democratize, could the westerners imagine the
adoption of the one party system by the west, since it is more effective.
7. Why no research and study on Japan and Germany, that they were not able to overtake the
US at their prime times, some years ago. -
liberal democracy created 1percentage, wall street, offshore tax cheat, and wars. Need I say more?
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It is like some primary students talking about what is behind the universe. No one here knows
even a little ,0.0000000001% of China, then they just talk like an "experts". What a joke! -
人间正道是沧桑,只讲享受不讲吃苦的文化和制度注定只是昙花一现。胡虏无百年之运,自古皆然。
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why this attracts so less views? I bet people don't want to see something that is what they wish the opposite way ! lol
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Middle East needs democracy; all middle east countries need democracy. China is different, it doesn't run on democracy because it has a better system: semi capitalism and semi-democracy.
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