Limits to economic growth? Sustainability? Commodity prices, land, water, global economy - Speaker
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http://www.globalchange.com 1 billion new consumers. Can economic growth continue indefinitely? Economist range of views. What is the limit to resources and the growth of emerging market economies? Impact on banks, investment banking, fund management, wealth funds and government policy regarding interest rates and exchange rates, currency devaluations. Macroeconomic trends analysis. Industry forecasts, impact on GDP and WDP. Limits on carbon, oil, gas, coal reservers. Impact of population growth, demographic changes, ageing populations, emerging middle class, birth rates. Potential impact of nuclear fusion technology. Commodities, commodity shortages and commodity prices: aluminium, copper, steel, precious metals, water, farming land and food supplies, gold. Real challenges for future generations - economy impact. Many problems are solvable if we can produce unlimited clean energy at relatively low cost with new technologies. Why meat production is so wasteful of resources. Conference keynote speaker and Futurist Dr Patrick Dixon. Author of SustainAgility.
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the less energy costs the more destruction to environment with population growth.
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Technology growth too, we'll figure something out.
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Folks we are searching the Black cat in the Dark room, We can talk like this for months and years=NO Solution. There is a solution for this''zeitgeist movement'', ''The Venus project.'' Please check out this with patience.
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Ok I just know one thing, more people, more problems. It seems USA will fall in a economic future similar to that of Japan.
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@jacopman Population growth is not exponential, is logistic. That is an S curve. It reaches a peak then tops off. All demand curves are logistic, not exponential.
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economic growth required to provide for a compounded world birth rate that creates a exponential growth rate cannot be met with finite resources. In fact....it may appear that there are plenty of resources until the exponential growth reaches critical mass on those resources. Then they will dissapear in a heart beat resulting in great tragedy. We either compassionately learn to limit population growth now or nature will do that through the balance of the system by drastic measures later.
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Yes I agree. Full marks for the Doctors optimism. Can't criticize him for that however. Is 6 billion humans an overpopulated planet? And the number is increasing exponentially. Who are the we's that are going to sort out the massive problems overtaking the planet? Who might the survivors be? The rich? How much time is left? Growth = surplus. How much surplus is left on the planet? Are we the only and first age on this planet that is indestructible and will go on forever?
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I hate to sound like a cynic, but it's all too little, too late. How do you reverse climate change or freeze the arctic to it's earlier size? The problem is nobody knows, since we - as an advanced modern society - have not gone through climate change. We just jump started a natural process and will soon enter into an ice age. Sorry folks, prepare the igloos, moreover, prepare for environmental refugees. Bangladesh, Australia, California, Katrina, and so many more.
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The usual false claim that "reserves grow more each year than we use" .Quoting Colin Campbell "An oilfield contains what it contains because it was filled in the geological past, but knowledge of how much it contains evolves over time..for genuine discovery trend, we need to backdate revisions to the discovery of the field. Failure to backdate gives the illusion that more is being found" So two mistakes: 1. peak extraction rate is a problem before "reserves" are;and backdating error Re reserves
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These are complex issues. Patrick
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Also if you click FAVOURITE (red heart) immediately below video, you will help other people find this video and enjoy it too. PLEASE do comment....I try to reply to most comments, but with 10 million different visitors to my sites sometimes it takes me a while. Patrick Dixon
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